Downing Property Developer Report: Building Through Uncertainty

14/12/22
15 min
Property finance
Report

The first Downing LLP property development report ‘Building Through Uncertainty’ gauges the opinions of 50 mid-sized UK residential property developers who collectively develop new properties worth around £1 billion a year.

The independently commissioned report finds that, despite mounting near-term risks, sentiment among developers remains optimistic.  

Taking a deeper dive into the concerns faced by developers, the report analyses the growing awareness of environmental, social and governance (ESG) factors in residential property among institutional investors, and discusses how developers can not only survive a downturn, but thrive.

The report also reveals that developers face a perfect storm of challenges – both internal and external. On a macro level, due to the war in Ukraine and post-pandemic supply chain strains, there has been a supply-side squeeze.      

As a result, the report shows that an overwhelming number of developers are concerned about the cost of raw materials and access to funding. But what has been identified as the biggest risk over the next 24 months is not prices but red tape. The study finds that 72% of developers believe the length of time it takes to secure approval from councils will increase over the next two years. Meanwhile, two-thirds (64%) expect it to become harder to secure the necessary insurance.  

The report also finds that there is confidence in a future increase in funding from specialist lenders due to the more flexible terms and conditions they can offer – something which is becoming increasingly appealing in the current environment. This is also being accelerated by more specialist lenders entering the market.  

While the report emphasises a challenging macroeconomic backdrop, it also explores how the long-term structural drivers remain in place. For example, despite successive governments’ rhetoric, there have been decades of undersupply of new housing.    

By taking a historical perspective, the report brings to light the importance for developers to take a long-term view and put in place contingency plans to ensure security during and beyond the current economic volatility. And if history is any measure, lenders, developers and institutional investors that stay the course with residential property development finance can achieve excellent long-term outcomes.  

If you would like to read the report and the full analysis, please click the download button below.

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The first Downing LLP property development report ‘Building Through Uncertainty’ gauges the opinions of 50 mid-sized UK residential property developers who collectively develop new properties worth around £1 billion a year.

The independently commissioned report finds that, despite mounting near-term risks, sentiment among developers remains optimistic.  

Taking a deeper dive into the concerns faced by developers, the report analyses the growing awareness of environmental, social and governance (ESG) factors in residential property among institutional investors, and discusses how developers can not only survive a downturn, but thrive.

The report also reveals that developers face a perfect storm of challenges – both internal and external. On a macro level, due to the war in Ukraine and post-pandemic supply chain strains, there has been a supply-side squeeze.      

As a result, the report shows that an overwhelming number of developers are concerned about the cost of raw materials and access to funding. But what has been identified as the biggest risk over the next 24 months is not prices but red tape. The study finds that 72% of developers believe the length of time it takes to secure approval from councils will increase over the next two years. Meanwhile, two-thirds (64%) expect it to become harder to secure the necessary insurance.  

The report also finds that there is confidence in a future increase in funding from specialist lenders due to the more flexible terms and conditions they can offer – something which is becoming increasingly appealing in the current environment. This is also being accelerated by more specialist lenders entering the market.  

While the report emphasises a challenging macroeconomic backdrop, it also explores how the long-term structural drivers remain in place. For example, despite successive governments’ rhetoric, there have been decades of undersupply of new housing.    

By taking a historical perspective, the report brings to light the importance for developers to take a long-term view and put in place contingency plans to ensure security during and beyond the current economic volatility. And if history is any measure, lenders, developers and institutional investors that stay the course with residential property development finance can achieve excellent long-term outcomes.  

If you would like to read the report and the full analysis, please click the download button below.

We are delighted to announce that Mark Gross, Partner and Head of Development Capital, has been named Equity Investor of the year at the HealthInvestor Power List 2024 Awards.

Following Mark’s achievement last year when he won the “Leading Investor” award at HealthInvestor’s Power50, this year’s win further highlights his continued success and expertise in investing across the healthcare sector. 

The judges praised Mark for finding success both in value and volume this year, delivering good returns and growth. They were impressed by how Mark has continued to strengthen a strong track record with further growth in the team and new funds securing further backing. We extend our thanks to Mark and the Downing Development Capital team for their continued dedication and support in expanding our healthcare investment activities with a focus on quality, performance and reputation. 

Congratulations Mark!

Development Capital  

Downing Development Capital is an award-winning investor focused on investment opportunities into asset-backed operating businesses with downside protection. Typical sectors they invest in include healthcare, specialist education, hospitality, leisure and IT infrastructure.

Learn more about our Development Capital team

The first Downing LLP property development report ‘Building Through Uncertainty’ gauges the opinions of 50 mid-sized UK residential property developers who collectively develop new properties worth around £1 billion a year.

The independently commissioned report finds that, despite mounting near-term risks, sentiment among developers remains optimistic.  

Taking a deeper dive into the concerns faced by developers, the report analyses the growing awareness of environmental, social and governance (ESG) factors in residential property among institutional investors, and discusses how developers can not only survive a downturn, but thrive.

The report also reveals that developers face a perfect storm of challenges – both internal and external. On a macro level, due to the war in Ukraine and post-pandemic supply chain strains, there has been a supply-side squeeze.      

As a result, the report shows that an overwhelming number of developers are concerned about the cost of raw materials and access to funding. But what has been identified as the biggest risk over the next 24 months is not prices but red tape. The study finds that 72% of developers believe the length of time it takes to secure approval from councils will increase over the next two years. Meanwhile, two-thirds (64%) expect it to become harder to secure the necessary insurance.  

The report also finds that there is confidence in a future increase in funding from specialist lenders due to the more flexible terms and conditions they can offer – something which is becoming increasingly appealing in the current environment. This is also being accelerated by more specialist lenders entering the market.  

While the report emphasises a challenging macroeconomic backdrop, it also explores how the long-term structural drivers remain in place. For example, despite successive governments’ rhetoric, there have been decades of undersupply of new housing.    

By taking a historical perspective, the report brings to light the importance for developers to take a long-term view and put in place contingency plans to ensure security during and beyond the current economic volatility. And if history is any measure, lenders, developers and institutional investors that stay the course with residential property development finance can achieve excellent long-term outcomes.  

If you would like to read the report and the full analysis, please click the download button below.

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Torsten Mack, Investment Director at Downing, said:

"We are proud to support this exceptional management team, whose strong track record positions them well to build a new business in dementia care. This needs-based sector is underpinned by a lack of quality supply and we are investing in Fortava Healthcare to set and deliver high standards, and to help make a difference."

Johann van Zyl, CEO at Fortava, added:

"I’m thrilled to be working with Jamie, as we share the same values. We plan to grow Fortava into a leading provider of dementia care over the next five to seven years. But growth isn’t our primary focus—our goal is to deliver outstanding care and foster a joyful, supportive environment for both residents and staff. We’re delighted to be partnering with Downing who also share our values and we look forward to this journey with them."

Jamie Stuart, CFO at Fortava, commented:

“For me, it's about being more than just another care home provider. While dementia care in the UK is generally of a good standard, we want to set ourselves apart with a fresh approach. That’s why, after over 25 years in banking, I chose to partner with Johann and Downing on this venture.”

The first Downing LLP property development report ‘Building Through Uncertainty’ gauges the opinions of 50 mid-sized UK residential property developers who collectively develop new properties worth around £1 billion a year.

The independently commissioned report finds that, despite mounting near-term risks, sentiment among developers remains optimistic.  

Taking a deeper dive into the concerns faced by developers, the report analyses the growing awareness of environmental, social and governance (ESG) factors in residential property among institutional investors, and discusses how developers can not only survive a downturn, but thrive.

The report also reveals that developers face a perfect storm of challenges – both internal and external. On a macro level, due to the war in Ukraine and post-pandemic supply chain strains, there has been a supply-side squeeze.      

As a result, the report shows that an overwhelming number of developers are concerned about the cost of raw materials and access to funding. But what has been identified as the biggest risk over the next 24 months is not prices but red tape. The study finds that 72% of developers believe the length of time it takes to secure approval from councils will increase over the next two years. Meanwhile, two-thirds (64%) expect it to become harder to secure the necessary insurance.  

The report also finds that there is confidence in a future increase in funding from specialist lenders due to the more flexible terms and conditions they can offer – something which is becoming increasingly appealing in the current environment. This is also being accelerated by more specialist lenders entering the market.  

While the report emphasises a challenging macroeconomic backdrop, it also explores how the long-term structural drivers remain in place. For example, despite successive governments’ rhetoric, there have been decades of undersupply of new housing.    

By taking a historical perspective, the report brings to light the importance for developers to take a long-term view and put in place contingency plans to ensure security during and beyond the current economic volatility. And if history is any measure, lenders, developers and institutional investors that stay the course with residential property development finance can achieve excellent long-term outcomes.  

If you would like to read the report and the full analysis, please click the download button below.

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Downing LLP does not provide advice or make personal recommendations and investors are strongly urged to seek independent advice before investing. Investments offered on this website carry a higher risk than many other types of investment and prospective investors should be aware that capital is at risk and the value of their investment may go down as well as up. Any investment should only be made on the basis of the relevant product literature and your attention is drawn to the risk, fees and taxation factors contained therein. Tax treatment depends on individual circumstances of each investor and may be subject to change in the future. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance. Downing LLP is authorised and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority (Firm Reference Number 545025). Registered in England No. OC341575. Registered Office: Downing, 10 Lower Thames Street, London, EC3R 6AF.

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