Energy outlook: Six key trends for 2023

4/1/23
5 min
Renewable energy
Insight

2022 was a year shrouded in unpredictability for the energy sector and 2023 looks like it is going to be another rollercoaster. Yet 2023 will ultimately be successful for those that can navigate significant risks and seize the exceptional opportunities the energy sector is likely to generate.

Energy security

Energy security remains a significant challenge. The UK needs to prioritise renewable infrastructure investment, as a step back now would be detrimental to our ability to take control of our energy production and our net zero ambitions. We are all fully aware of the knock-on effects of our dependence on global fossil fuels and its prices– let’s not continue to be at the mercy of external factors.

UK Electricity Generator Levy

With the UK Government’s Electricity Generator Levy coming into effect in January, it is concerning that renewable energy operators are facing a windfall tax. This does not address the root cause of the rises in power prices. The government risks putting the handbrake on development of new renewable energy projects, which is the exact opposite of what we need to secure our energy supply, let alone reduce emissions and meet our net zero targets.

UK policy environment

Flip-flopping on fracking, onshore wind, ignoring farmers and the NFU on renewables and food security and re-opening coal mines is not helpful. A thoughtful and stable policy environment is essential for the UK to maximise its renewable generation.

Looking beyond core renewables

Our strong belief is that a diversified portfolio of technologies spanning our nation’s diverse geographies will allow us to harness multiple weather systems on individual days and make supply and power pricing smoother for generators and consumers alike. The UK has wind, sun and water in abundance, we should be using all the core renewable energy technologies available to us.  Investments in storage and projects aimed at delivering ancillary grid services are needed in order to make the most of this wealth of natural resources.

Power prices

Until supply and demand rebalance, we will not see any return to normality. Although we expect power prices to remain high and even become more volatile, it is essential to retain a realistic long-term outlook, which will require a solid understanding of the behaviour of power prices in every specific region or geography.

The aftermath of COP27

This is not the time to take our foot off the pedal with renewable energy. No one wants to rely on negative carbon to bring us back from the brink. Renewables are a huge part of the answer and investment must continue to increase substantially from both the Government and private sector.

Click here to find out more about the Energy & Infrastructure team at Downing

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2022 was a year shrouded in unpredictability for the energy sector and 2023 looks like it is going to be another rollercoaster. Yet 2023 will ultimately be successful for those that can navigate significant risks and seize the exceptional opportunities the energy sector is likely to generate.

Energy security

Energy security remains a significant challenge. The UK needs to prioritise renewable infrastructure investment, as a step back now would be detrimental to our ability to take control of our energy production and our net zero ambitions. We are all fully aware of the knock-on effects of our dependence on global fossil fuels and its prices– let’s not continue to be at the mercy of external factors.

UK Electricity Generator Levy

With the UK Government’s Electricity Generator Levy coming into effect in January, it is concerning that renewable energy operators are facing a windfall tax. This does not address the root cause of the rises in power prices. The government risks putting the handbrake on development of new renewable energy projects, which is the exact opposite of what we need to secure our energy supply, let alone reduce emissions and meet our net zero targets.

UK policy environment

Flip-flopping on fracking, onshore wind, ignoring farmers and the NFU on renewables and food security and re-opening coal mines is not helpful. A thoughtful and stable policy environment is essential for the UK to maximise its renewable generation.

Looking beyond core renewables

Our strong belief is that a diversified portfolio of technologies spanning our nation’s diverse geographies will allow us to harness multiple weather systems on individual days and make supply and power pricing smoother for generators and consumers alike. The UK has wind, sun and water in abundance, we should be using all the core renewable energy technologies available to us.  Investments in storage and projects aimed at delivering ancillary grid services are needed in order to make the most of this wealth of natural resources.

Power prices

Until supply and demand rebalance, we will not see any return to normality. Although we expect power prices to remain high and even become more volatile, it is essential to retain a realistic long-term outlook, which will require a solid understanding of the behaviour of power prices in every specific region or geography.

The aftermath of COP27

This is not the time to take our foot off the pedal with renewable energy. No one wants to rely on negative carbon to bring us back from the brink. Renewables are a huge part of the answer and investment must continue to increase substantially from both the Government and private sector.

Click here to find out more about the Energy & Infrastructure team at Downing

We are delighted to announce that Mark Gross, Partner and Head of Development Capital, has been named Equity Investor of the year at the HealthInvestor Power List 2024 Awards.

Following Mark’s achievement last year when he won the “Leading Investor” award at HealthInvestor’s Power50, this year’s win further highlights his continued success and expertise in investing across the healthcare sector. 

The judges praised Mark for finding success both in value and volume this year, delivering good returns and growth. They were impressed by how Mark has continued to strengthen a strong track record with further growth in the team and new funds securing further backing. We extend our thanks to Mark and the Downing Development Capital team for their continued dedication and support in expanding our healthcare investment activities with a focus on quality, performance and reputation. 

Congratulations Mark!

Development Capital  

Downing Development Capital is an award-winning investor focused on investment opportunities into asset-backed operating businesses with downside protection. Typical sectors they invest in include healthcare, specialist education, hospitality, leisure and IT infrastructure.

Learn more about our Development Capital team

2022 was a year shrouded in unpredictability for the energy sector and 2023 looks like it is going to be another rollercoaster. Yet 2023 will ultimately be successful for those that can navigate significant risks and seize the exceptional opportunities the energy sector is likely to generate.

Energy security

Energy security remains a significant challenge. The UK needs to prioritise renewable infrastructure investment, as a step back now would be detrimental to our ability to take control of our energy production and our net zero ambitions. We are all fully aware of the knock-on effects of our dependence on global fossil fuels and its prices– let’s not continue to be at the mercy of external factors.

UK Electricity Generator Levy

With the UK Government’s Electricity Generator Levy coming into effect in January, it is concerning that renewable energy operators are facing a windfall tax. This does not address the root cause of the rises in power prices. The government risks putting the handbrake on development of new renewable energy projects, which is the exact opposite of what we need to secure our energy supply, let alone reduce emissions and meet our net zero targets.

UK policy environment

Flip-flopping on fracking, onshore wind, ignoring farmers and the NFU on renewables and food security and re-opening coal mines is not helpful. A thoughtful and stable policy environment is essential for the UK to maximise its renewable generation.

Looking beyond core renewables

Our strong belief is that a diversified portfolio of technologies spanning our nation’s diverse geographies will allow us to harness multiple weather systems on individual days and make supply and power pricing smoother for generators and consumers alike. The UK has wind, sun and water in abundance, we should be using all the core renewable energy technologies available to us.  Investments in storage and projects aimed at delivering ancillary grid services are needed in order to make the most of this wealth of natural resources.

Power prices

Until supply and demand rebalance, we will not see any return to normality. Although we expect power prices to remain high and even become more volatile, it is essential to retain a realistic long-term outlook, which will require a solid understanding of the behaviour of power prices in every specific region or geography.

The aftermath of COP27

This is not the time to take our foot off the pedal with renewable energy. No one wants to rely on negative carbon to bring us back from the brink. Renewables are a huge part of the answer and investment must continue to increase substantially from both the Government and private sector.

Click here to find out more about the Energy & Infrastructure team at Downing

Basking in the sun: nine solar policy essentials
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Torsten Mack, Investment Director at Downing, said:

"We are proud to support this exceptional management team, whose strong track record positions them well to build a new business in dementia care. This needs-based sector is underpinned by a lack of quality supply and we are investing in Fortava Healthcare to set and deliver high standards, and to help make a difference."

Johann van Zyl, CEO at Fortava, added:

"I’m thrilled to be working with Jamie, as we share the same values. We plan to grow Fortava into a leading provider of dementia care over the next five to seven years. But growth isn’t our primary focus—our goal is to deliver outstanding care and foster a joyful, supportive environment for both residents and staff. We’re delighted to be partnering with Downing who also share our values and we look forward to this journey with them."

Jamie Stuart, CFO at Fortava, commented:

“For me, it's about being more than just another care home provider. While dementia care in the UK is generally of a good standard, we want to set ourselves apart with a fresh approach. That’s why, after over 25 years in banking, I chose to partner with Johann and Downing on this venture.”

2022 was a year shrouded in unpredictability for the energy sector and 2023 looks like it is going to be another rollercoaster. Yet 2023 will ultimately be successful for those that can navigate significant risks and seize the exceptional opportunities the energy sector is likely to generate.

Energy security

Energy security remains a significant challenge. The UK needs to prioritise renewable infrastructure investment, as a step back now would be detrimental to our ability to take control of our energy production and our net zero ambitions. We are all fully aware of the knock-on effects of our dependence on global fossil fuels and its prices– let’s not continue to be at the mercy of external factors.

UK Electricity Generator Levy

With the UK Government’s Electricity Generator Levy coming into effect in January, it is concerning that renewable energy operators are facing a windfall tax. This does not address the root cause of the rises in power prices. The government risks putting the handbrake on development of new renewable energy projects, which is the exact opposite of what we need to secure our energy supply, let alone reduce emissions and meet our net zero targets.

UK policy environment

Flip-flopping on fracking, onshore wind, ignoring farmers and the NFU on renewables and food security and re-opening coal mines is not helpful. A thoughtful and stable policy environment is essential for the UK to maximise its renewable generation.

Looking beyond core renewables

Our strong belief is that a diversified portfolio of technologies spanning our nation’s diverse geographies will allow us to harness multiple weather systems on individual days and make supply and power pricing smoother for generators and consumers alike. The UK has wind, sun and water in abundance, we should be using all the core renewable energy technologies available to us.  Investments in storage and projects aimed at delivering ancillary grid services are needed in order to make the most of this wealth of natural resources.

Power prices

Until supply and demand rebalance, we will not see any return to normality. Although we expect power prices to remain high and even become more volatile, it is essential to retain a realistic long-term outlook, which will require a solid understanding of the behaviour of power prices in every specific region or geography.

The aftermath of COP27

This is not the time to take our foot off the pedal with renewable energy. No one wants to rely on negative carbon to bring us back from the brink. Renewables are a huge part of the answer and investment must continue to increase substantially from both the Government and private sector.

Click here to find out more about the Energy & Infrastructure team at Downing

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Downing LLP does not provide advice or make personal recommendations and investors are strongly urged to seek independent advice before investing. Investments offered on this website carry a higher risk than many other types of investment and prospective investors should be aware that capital is at risk and the value of their investment may go down as well as up. Any investment should only be made on the basis of the relevant product literature and your attention is drawn to the risk, fees and taxation factors contained therein. Tax treatment depends on individual circumstances of each investor and may be subject to change in the future. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance. Downing LLP is authorised and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority (Firm Reference Number 545025). Registered in England No. OC341575. Registered Office: Downing, 10 Lower Thames Street, London, EC3R 6AF.

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