Downing Private Credit Property Development Research

5/12/23
5 min
Property finance
Report

Building Yields and Homes

Downing LLP's second annual report on the UK residential property development market highlights the sector’s resilience and the continued opportunity for returns. Our survey of 100 institutional investors, consisting of insurance asset managers, family offices, and public and private pension schemes, collectively managing £405.6 billion of assets uncovered an enduring appetite for the asset class – even in the face of a continued shortage of supply of new homes and buyer affordability challenges.

Over the last 12 months, many developers paused acquisitions amid rising costs and buyer affordability issues. However, opportunities remain in residential investment for the right properties in suitable locations, as we highlight in chapter one. The political focus on housing is sharpening with diverging views between parties already evident ahead of a 2025 general election. Both parties will need coherent plans to win the confidence of voters though housebuilders’ challenges around costs and sales may ease with slowing inflation and in due course lower interest rates.

Chapter two shows institutional investors understand that while reduced construction constricts a market, it also supports values in the longer term.

Investors are consequently comfortable expanding allocations for yield, diversification and attractive risk profiles. They see the opportunity for private investment to help meet housing goals, with half agreeing institutional investment is essential to deliver the UK’s aspiration for new homes. Most expect a small funding increase by 2028.

The crucial importance of location is revealed in chapter three, but nationwide opportunities exist. Flats are also back in favour, but economic instability brings caution, making specialised partners vital.

Chapter four highlights property lenders' strengthened ESG focus in a bid to attract institutional investors. Most investors would accept lower yields for strong ESG projects, helping them meet their own ESG goals.

In conclusion, nuance around geography and partners is key, but political support and easing inflation provide optimism. Institutional investment continues to play a crucial and profitable role in the UK residential property market.

We hope you enjoy reading this report, please get in touch if you have any questions.

Contents
See full contents

Building Yields and Homes

Downing LLP's second annual report on the UK residential property development market highlights the sector’s resilience and the continued opportunity for returns. Our survey of 100 institutional investors, consisting of insurance asset managers, family offices, and public and private pension schemes, collectively managing £405.6 billion of assets uncovered an enduring appetite for the asset class – even in the face of a continued shortage of supply of new homes and buyer affordability challenges.

Over the last 12 months, many developers paused acquisitions amid rising costs and buyer affordability issues. However, opportunities remain in residential investment for the right properties in suitable locations, as we highlight in chapter one. The political focus on housing is sharpening with diverging views between parties already evident ahead of a 2025 general election. Both parties will need coherent plans to win the confidence of voters though housebuilders’ challenges around costs and sales may ease with slowing inflation and in due course lower interest rates.

Chapter two shows institutional investors understand that while reduced construction constricts a market, it also supports values in the longer term.

Investors are consequently comfortable expanding allocations for yield, diversification and attractive risk profiles. They see the opportunity for private investment to help meet housing goals, with half agreeing institutional investment is essential to deliver the UK’s aspiration for new homes. Most expect a small funding increase by 2028.

The crucial importance of location is revealed in chapter three, but nationwide opportunities exist. Flats are also back in favour, but economic instability brings caution, making specialised partners vital.

Chapter four highlights property lenders' strengthened ESG focus in a bid to attract institutional investors. Most investors would accept lower yields for strong ESG projects, helping them meet their own ESG goals.

In conclusion, nuance around geography and partners is key, but political support and easing inflation provide optimism. Institutional investment continues to play a crucial and profitable role in the UK residential property market.

We hope you enjoy reading this report, please get in touch if you have any questions.

We are delighted to announce that Mark Gross, Partner and Head of Development Capital, has been named Equity Investor of the year at the HealthInvestor Power List 2024 Awards.

Following Mark’s achievement last year when he won the “Leading Investor” award at HealthInvestor’s Power50, this year’s win further highlights his continued success and expertise in investing across the healthcare sector. 

The judges praised Mark for finding success both in value and volume this year, delivering good returns and growth. They were impressed by how Mark has continued to strengthen a strong track record with further growth in the team and new funds securing further backing. We extend our thanks to Mark and the Downing Development Capital team for their continued dedication and support in expanding our healthcare investment activities with a focus on quality, performance and reputation. 

Congratulations Mark!

Development Capital  

Downing Development Capital is an award-winning investor focused on investment opportunities into asset-backed operating businesses with downside protection. Typical sectors they invest in include healthcare, specialist education, hospitality, leisure and IT infrastructure.

Learn more about our Development Capital team

Building Yields and Homes

Downing LLP's second annual report on the UK residential property development market highlights the sector’s resilience and the continued opportunity for returns. Our survey of 100 institutional investors, consisting of insurance asset managers, family offices, and public and private pension schemes, collectively managing £405.6 billion of assets uncovered an enduring appetite for the asset class – even in the face of a continued shortage of supply of new homes and buyer affordability challenges.

Over the last 12 months, many developers paused acquisitions amid rising costs and buyer affordability issues. However, opportunities remain in residential investment for the right properties in suitable locations, as we highlight in chapter one. The political focus on housing is sharpening with diverging views between parties already evident ahead of a 2025 general election. Both parties will need coherent plans to win the confidence of voters though housebuilders’ challenges around costs and sales may ease with slowing inflation and in due course lower interest rates.

Chapter two shows institutional investors understand that while reduced construction constricts a market, it also supports values in the longer term.

Investors are consequently comfortable expanding allocations for yield, diversification and attractive risk profiles. They see the opportunity for private investment to help meet housing goals, with half agreeing institutional investment is essential to deliver the UK’s aspiration for new homes. Most expect a small funding increase by 2028.

The crucial importance of location is revealed in chapter three, but nationwide opportunities exist. Flats are also back in favour, but economic instability brings caution, making specialised partners vital.

Chapter four highlights property lenders' strengthened ESG focus in a bid to attract institutional investors. Most investors would accept lower yields for strong ESG projects, helping them meet their own ESG goals.

In conclusion, nuance around geography and partners is key, but political support and easing inflation provide optimism. Institutional investment continues to play a crucial and profitable role in the UK residential property market.

We hope you enjoy reading this report, please get in touch if you have any questions.

The Strait of Hormuz: Conflict and the impact of the UK construction material supply chain
Learn more

Torsten Mack, Investment Director at Downing, said:

"We are proud to support this exceptional management team, whose strong track record positions them well to build a new business in dementia care. This needs-based sector is underpinned by a lack of quality supply and we are investing in Fortava Healthcare to set and deliver high standards, and to help make a difference."

Johann van Zyl, CEO at Fortava, added:

"I’m thrilled to be working with Jamie, as we share the same values. We plan to grow Fortava into a leading provider of dementia care over the next five to seven years. But growth isn’t our primary focus—our goal is to deliver outstanding care and foster a joyful, supportive environment for both residents and staff. We’re delighted to be partnering with Downing who also share our values and we look forward to this journey with them."

Jamie Stuart, CFO at Fortava, commented:

“For me, it's about being more than just another care home provider. While dementia care in the UK is generally of a good standard, we want to set ourselves apart with a fresh approach. That’s why, after over 25 years in banking, I chose to partner with Johann and Downing on this venture.”

Building Yields and Homes

Downing LLP's second annual report on the UK residential property development market highlights the sector’s resilience and the continued opportunity for returns. Our survey of 100 institutional investors, consisting of insurance asset managers, family offices, and public and private pension schemes, collectively managing £405.6 billion of assets uncovered an enduring appetite for the asset class – even in the face of a continued shortage of supply of new homes and buyer affordability challenges.

Over the last 12 months, many developers paused acquisitions amid rising costs and buyer affordability issues. However, opportunities remain in residential investment for the right properties in suitable locations, as we highlight in chapter one. The political focus on housing is sharpening with diverging views between parties already evident ahead of a 2025 general election. Both parties will need coherent plans to win the confidence of voters though housebuilders’ challenges around costs and sales may ease with slowing inflation and in due course lower interest rates.

Chapter two shows institutional investors understand that while reduced construction constricts a market, it also supports values in the longer term.

Investors are consequently comfortable expanding allocations for yield, diversification and attractive risk profiles. They see the opportunity for private investment to help meet housing goals, with half agreeing institutional investment is essential to deliver the UK’s aspiration for new homes. Most expect a small funding increase by 2028.

The crucial importance of location is revealed in chapter three, but nationwide opportunities exist. Flats are also back in favour, but economic instability brings caution, making specialised partners vital.

Chapter four highlights property lenders' strengthened ESG focus in a bid to attract institutional investors. Most investors would accept lower yields for strong ESG projects, helping them meet their own ESG goals.

In conclusion, nuance around geography and partners is key, but political support and easing inflation provide optimism. Institutional investment continues to play a crucial and profitable role in the UK residential property market.

We hope you enjoy reading this report, please get in touch if you have any questions.

Please fill out the form to download the full report

Thank you! Your submission has been received!
Oops! Something went wrong while submitting the form.
Sign up to stay up to date with the latest insights and investment opportunities
Learn more

Downing LLP does not provide advice or make personal recommendations and investors are strongly urged to seek independent advice before investing. Investments offered on this website carry a higher risk than many other types of investment and prospective investors should be aware that capital is at risk and the value of their investment may go down as well as up. Any investment should only be made on the basis of the relevant product literature and your attention is drawn to the risk, fees and taxation factors contained therein. Tax treatment depends on individual circumstances of each investor and may be subject to change in the future. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance. Downing LLP is authorised and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority (Firm Reference Number 545025). Registered in England No. OC341575. Registered Office: Downing, 10 Lower Thames Street, London, EC3R 6AF.

VAT Number: 112 940 149